Research on forecasting methods has made important progress over recent years and these developments are brought together in the Handbook of Economic Forecasting. The handbook covers developments in how forecasts are constructed based on multivariate time-series models, dynamic factor models, nonlinear models and combination methods. The handbook also includes chapters on forecast evaluation, including evaluation of point forecasts and probability forecasts and contains chapters on survey forecasts and volatility forecasts. Areas of applications of forecasts covered in the handbook include economics, finance and marketing. *Addresses economic forecasting methodology, forecasting models, forecasting with different data structures, and the applications of forecasting methods *Insights within this volume can be applied to economics, finance and marketing disciplines
clark. and. michael. w. mccracken. 1. Introduction . ... To do so, we use the information available to us, in the form of historical values of ys, and other variables xs = (x1,s,...,xk,s), s = 1,...,T, to form a prediction ...
Paye, B. S., and A. Timmermann. 2006. Instability of return prediction models. Journal of Empirical Finance 13:274–315. Pearson, E. 1938. The probability integral transformation for testing goodness of fit and combining independent ...
New discussions in the second edition include: further evaluation of changes in household employment data based on recent revisions; the switch in real GDP to a chained dollar basis from constant dollar; 1998 revisions to CPI data--and ...
GiveWin : An Interactive Empirical Modelling Program . London : Timberlake Consultants Press . Doornik , J. A. and Hendry , D. F. ( 1997 ) . Modelling Dynamic Systems using PcFiml 9 for Windows . London : Timberlake Consultants Press .
This volume reveals new insights into household decision-making on consumption and saving, borrowing and investing, portfolio allocation, demand of professional advice, and retirement choices.
This handbook is a definitive source of path-breaking research on the economics of gambling.
Covering a range of fields in economics: econometrics, actuarial science, experimental economics, index theory, national accounts, and economic forecasting, this book takes measurement in economics as its central focus.
In particular , Burns and Mitchell cited a study by Edwin Frickey to support this claim . The Frickey study is experimented with 23 different trend lines for the same series and found that the resulting cycle could range from 3 to 4 ...
Forecasting is required in many situations.
The Handbook of Financial Time Series gives an up-to-date overview of the field and covers all relevant topics both from a statistical and an econometrical point of view.