The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the 1990-1991 recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy. In this volume, leading economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econometric models, and discuss new methods for forecasting and time series analysis.
This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.
Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting
Shea , G. S. , 1989 , Uncertainty and implied variance bounds in long - memory models of the interest rate term structure , Manuscript ( Department of Finance , Penn State University , University Park , PA ) .
This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.
This text provides an introduction to business cycles and their theoretical and historical basis. It also includes work on early indicator research and provides examples of business cycle indicators.
Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting
... cyclical lead performance 2 . Changes in weights assigned to component indicators due to statistical updating as more data become available 3 . Definitional changes in ... Turning point prediction with the composite leading index 233.
In a time of unprecedented economic uncertainty, this book provides empirical guidance to the economy and what to expect in the near and distant future.
Business Cycle Indicators and Measures: A Complete Guide to Interpreting the Key Economic Indicators
BEATING THE BUSINESS CYCLE is the first book to reveal how decision makers at all levels–managers, small business owners, and individuals–can see into the economy’s future when making key decisions.