From Nobel Prize–winning economist and New York Times bestselling author Robert Shiller, a groundbreaking account of how stories help drive economic events—and why financial panics can spread like epidemic viruses Stories people tell—about financial confidence or panic, housing booms, or Bitcoin—can go viral and powerfully affect economies, but such narratives have traditionally been ignored in economics and finance because they seem anecdotal and unscientific. In this groundbreaking book, Robert Shiller explains why we ignore these stories at our peril—and how we can begin to take them seriously. Using a rich array of examples and data, Shiller argues that studying popular stories that influence individual and collective economic behavior—what he calls "narrative economics"—may vastly improve our ability to predict, prepare for, and lessen the damage of financial crises and other major economic events. The result is nothing less than a new way to think about the economy, economic change, and economics. In a new preface, Shiller reflects on some of the challenges facing narrative economics, discusses the connection between disease epidemics and economic epidemics, and suggests why epidemiology may hold lessons for fighting economic contagions.
The novelty-narrative hypothesis is used to understand stock market instability using big data textual analytics of financial news.
If You're So Smart will engage, enlighten, and empower anyone trying to evaluate the experts who stand ready to engineer our lives. "Writing with delicious wit and great seriousness."—Publishers Weekly.
This edited volume lays the foundations for a new model of economic reasoning by showing how, in conditions of uncertainty, economic actors combine calculation with imaginaries and narratives to form fictional expectations that coordinate ...
The Theory of the Leisure Class: An Economic Study of the Evolution of Institutions. London: Macmillan. ... “Ubiquity and Specificity of Reinforcement Signals throughout the Human Brain. ... New York: Simon and Schuster.
... 188n6 Leong, Kenneth, 183n14 LeRoy, Stephen, 193n6 Leven, Maurice, 179n6 leverage cycle, 136 leverage feedback, ... Michael, 151, 195n5 McCloud, James F., 138 McCulloch, Robert, 185n20, 196n10 McDonald, Forrest, 185n22 McDonald, ...
But this view of immigration’s impact is overly simplified, explains George J. Borjas, a Cuban-American, Harvard labor economist.
Lars Peter Hansen, Thomas J. Sargent. Potter, J. E. (1966). Matrix Quadratic Solutions. SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics, ... Sims, C. A. (1971). Distributed Lag Estimation When the Parameter Space Is Explicitly Infinite-Dimensional.
It is secured by a specific pledge over untallied buried treasure in the Emperor's lands. Now let it be provided that this rich treasure, once lifted from the ground, shall serve as quittance.80 The devilry may lie rather in the implied ...
Featuring a new preface, this book brings economics back to its place in the human conversation.
... Todd Davidson, Jingxuan Feng, Lianyong Feng, Felix FitzRoy, Roger Fouquet, James K. Galbraith, Gaël Giraud, ... Susan Hovorka, Jean-Marc Jancovici, Andrew Jarvis, Steve Keen, Eric KempBenedict, Kent Klitgaard, Susan Krumdiek, ...