With a new Afterword on the current state of the stock market, the ongoing debate over the “new economy,” and the larger implications of “irrational exuberance.”
In this controversial, hard-hitting account of today's explosive market, Robert J. Shiller, a leading expert on market volatility, evokes Alan Greenspan's infamous 1996 reference, “irrational exuberance,” to explain the alternately soaring and declining stock market. Shiller's unconventional yet persuasive argument credits an unprecedented confluence of events with driving stocks to uncharted heights, and he analyzes the structural, cultural, and psychological factors behind these levels of growth not reflected in any other sector of the economy. Now more relevant than ever, this analysis is both chilling and convincing—a must-read for the individual investor, the policy maker, and the investment professional.
In the most controversial portion of the book, Shiller cautions that a market that is overvalued by historical standards is inherently precarious.
... 188n6 Leong, Kenneth, 183n14 LeRoy, Stephen, 193n6 Leven, Maurice, 179n6 leverage cycle, 136 leverage feedback, ... Michael, 151, 195n5 McCloud, James F., 138 McCulloch, Robert, 185n20, 196n10 McDonald, Forrest, 185n22 McDonald, ...
Research assistance was provided by Logan Bender, Andrew Brod, Laurie Cameron Craighead, Jaeden Graham, Jinshan Han, ... Francesco Filippucci, Kelly Goodman, Patrick Greenfield, Krishna Ramesh, Preeti Srinivasan, and Garence Staraci.
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In Toward Rational Exuberance, B. Mark Smith, a professional stock trader with two decades of practical experience, tells the fascinating story of how this stunning transformation occurred.
Testing Rational Expectations and Efficiency in the Foreign Exchange Market , " Econome- trica 51 : 553-563 . Blanchard , Olivier J. , and Watson , Mark W. 1982. " Bubbles , Rational Expectations and Financial Markets .
"Robert Shiller is two for two in predicting and identifying bubbles that will burst. This book is a must read for anyone predicting future bubbles or charting the course of recovery from our current difficulties.
Why read this summary: Save time Understand the key concepts Notice: This is a IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE Book Summary. NOT THE ORIGINAL BOOK.
The Theory of the Leisure Class: An Economic Study of the Evolution of Institutions. London: Macmillan. ... “Ubiquity and Specificity of Reinforcement Signals throughout the Human Brain. ... New York: Simon and Schuster.
In his best-selling Irrational Exuberance, Robert Shiller cautioned that society's obsession with the stock market was fueling the volatility that has since made a roller coaster of the financial system.