During the Cold War, deterrence theory was the cornerstone of U.S. foreign policy. Following the 9/11 terrorist attacks, however, popular wisdom dictated that terrorist organizations and radical fanatics could not be deterred—and governments shifted their attention to combating terrorism rather than deterring it. This book challenges that prevailing assumption and offers insight as to when and where terrorism can be deterred. It first identifies how and where theories of deterrence apply to counterterrorism, highlighting how traditional and less-traditional notions of deterrence can be applied to evolving terrorist threats. It then applies these theoretical propositions to real-world threats to establish the role deterrence has within a dynamic counterterrorism strategy—and to identify how metrics can be created for measuring the success of terrorism deterrence strategies. In sum, it provides a foundation for developing effective counterterrorism policies to help states contain or curtail the terrorism challenges they face.
It may not be possible to deter fanatical terrorists, but members of terrorist systems may be amenable to influence.
Michael Levi, “Deterring State Sponsorship of Nuclear Terrorism,” Council Special Report 39 (2008), 4–5. 62. Jasen J. Castillo, “Nuclear Terrorism: Why Deterrence Still Matters,” Current History 102 (2003), 426. 63.
Secondly, this essay identifies the main characteristics of the terrorist threat and establishes what the difficulties of deterrence in this specific asymmetric confrontation might be.
This book will be of great interest to students of US foreign policy, national and international security, terrorism and international relations in general.
... ambiguity in deterrence success depends on the attitude of the target actor vis-à-vis risk taking. On the one hand, ambiguity about the kind of response to an opponent's attack increases the chances of deterrence success by complicating ...
Home Office, Examining Officers under the Terrorism Act 2000: Code of Practice (Home Office, 2009). Please note the Code has been reviewed and updated in 2015 with the Home Office, Examining Officers and Review Officers under Schedule 7 ...
Thanks also go to Patricia Dorff and Lia Norton in Publications for ably steering the report through publication and to Lisa Shields, Anya Schmemann, and Sara Weeks in Communications and Marketing for their skill in promoting and ...
This report addresses the question of what terrorists hold in value. This question is posed in order to assess some means and strategies for deterring, deflecting, or preventing terrorist activities.
Deterring terrorism is best approached as part of a broad effort to influence all elements of a terrorist system, and simple, conceptual models of decisionmaking can help in understanding how to affect others' behavior.
DIVThe greatest danger facing the world today, says Alan M. Dershowitz, comes from religiously inspired, state sponsored terrorist groups that seek to develop weapons of mass destruction for use against civilian targets.