Why the irrational exuberance of investors hasn't disappeared since the financial crisis In this revised, updated, and expanded edition of his New York Times bestseller, Nobel Prize–winning economist Robert Shiller, who warned of both the tech and housing bubbles, cautions that signs of irrational exuberance among investors have only increased since the 2008–9 financial crisis. With high stock and bond prices and the rising cost of housing, the post-subprime boom may well turn out to be another illustration of Shiller's influential argument that psychologically driven volatility is an inherent characteristic of all asset markets. In other words, Irrational Exuberance is as relevant as ever. Previous editions covered the stock and housing markets—and famously predicted their crashes. This edition expands its coverage to include the bond market, so that the book now addresses all of the major investment markets. It also includes updated data throughout, as well as Shiller's 2013 Nobel Prize lecture, which places the book in broader context. In addition to diagnosing the causes of asset bubbles, Irrational Exuberance recommends urgent policy changes to lessen their likelihood and severity—and suggests ways that individuals can decrease their risk before the next bubble bursts. No one whose future depends on a retirement account, a house, or other investments can afford not to read this book.
In the most controversial portion of the book, Shiller cautions that a market that is overvalued by historical standards is inherently precarious.
With a new Afterword on the current state of the stock market, the ongoing debate over the “new economy,” and the larger implications of “irrational exuberance.”In this controversial, hard-hitting account...
... 188n6 Leong, Kenneth, 183n14 LeRoy, Stephen, 193n6 Leven, Maurice, 179n6 leverage cycle, 136 leverage feedback, ... Michael, 151, 195n5 McCloud, James F., 138 McCulloch, Robert, 185n20, 196n10 McDonald, Forrest, 185n22 McDonald, ...
In Toward Rational Exuberance, B. Mark Smith, a professional stock trader with two decades of practical experience, tells the fascinating story of how this stunning transformation occurred.
Testing Rational Expectations and Efficiency in the Foreign Exchange Market , " Econome- trica 51 : 553-563 . Blanchard , Olivier J. , and Watson , Mark W. 1982. " Bubbles , Rational Expectations and Financial Markets .
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Research assistance was provided by Logan Bender, Andrew Brod, Laurie Cameron Craighead, Jaeden Graham, Jinshan Han, ... Francesco Filippucci, Kelly Goodman, Patrick Greenfield, Krishna Ramesh, Preeti Srinivasan, and Garence Staraci.
"Robert Shiller is two for two in predicting and identifying bubbles that will burst. This book is a must read for anyone predicting future bubbles or charting the course of recovery from our current difficulties.
Why read this summary: Save time Understand the key concepts Notice: This is a IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE Book Summary. NOT THE ORIGINAL BOOK.
The Theory of the Leisure Class: An Economic Study of the Evolution of Institutions. London: Macmillan. ... “Ubiquity and Specificity of Reinforcement Signals throughout the Human Brain. ... New York: Simon and Schuster.