In Predicting the Next President political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860, Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies who want to get a head-start on calling Decision 2012.
Reporting data and predicting trends through the 2008 campaign, this classroom-tested volume offers again James E. Campbell’s “theory of the predictable campaign,” incorporating the fundamental conditions that systematically affect ...
Describes a method for analyzing the forces that influence election results and predicting the outcome of elections for the president of the United States
Offers a fresh and revealing account of the dramatic 1948 presidential election between President Harry Truman and challenger Thomas Dewey.
Old - school candidates outside the cabinet may plot against the president's candidate . ... For example , a nasty contest between PRI aspirants might provide a ripe opportunity for drug traffickers to murder a candidate known to be ...
Reporting data and predicting trends through the 2008 campaign, this classroom-tested volume offers again James E. Campbell's "theory of the predictable campaign," incorporating the fundamental conditions that systematically affect the ...
The revolutionary system that reveals how presidential elections really work from the civil war to the 21st century. As controversial as it is compelling this book fundamentally alters our understanding of presidential politics.