Reporting data and predicting trends through the 2008 campaign, this classroom-tested volume offers again James E. Campbell’s “theory of the predictable campaign,” incorporating the fundamental conditions that systematically affect the presidential vote: political competition, presidential incumbency, and election-year economic conditions. Campbell’s cogent thinking and clear style present students with a readable survey of presidential elections and political scientists’ ways of studying them. The American Campaign also shows how and why journalists have mistakenly assigned a pattern of unpredictability and critical significance to the vagaries of individual campaigns. This excellent election-year text provides: a summary and assessment of each of the serious predictive models of presidential election outcomes; a historical summary of many of America’s important presidential elections; a significant new contribution to the understanding of presidential campaigns and how they matter.
Following one of the most contentious and surprising elections in US history, the new edition of this classic text demonstrates unequivocally: Campaigns matter.
Revised and updated, the third edition of Interest Groups in American Campaigns delves into the 2010 election campaign; recent reforms and campaign finance laws that have substantially changed the roles played by interest groups; and how ...
At the end of this book, readers will walk away with more than mere predictions. They will have learned a new approach to thinking about many age-old concerns in public and private life, and will have a myriad of fun facts to share.
The Seventh Edition continues to delve into partisan differences among voters and in government, exploring issues such as the Affordable Care Act’s troubled implementation, the increasing legalization of marijuana and same-sex marriage in ...
This book, written by someone who has polled for 23 years, first focuses on the process of acquiring information during a campaign through polling. The book describes how to write questions, draw samples of voters, and conduct calling.
This book is a useful rebuttal to the cynical view that politics is a wholly contrived business, in which unscrupulous operatives manipulate the emotions of distrustful but gullible citizens.
The #1 book--now updated through 2018
In this new and updated volume, the contributors examine the phenomena of presidential swing states in the 2016 presidential election.
4 (2005): 1248–1274; William G. Mayer, “The Swing Voter in American Presidential Elections,” American Politics Research 35, ... 4 (1996): 780–793; Samuel Popkin, The Reasoning Voter (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1991); Daron R ...
Gresham to Slaughter, December 7, 1876, January 28, March 3, 1877, WQG-LC; Indianapolis News, May 8, 1877; George B. Wright to Hayes, March 8, 1877, Gresham to Stanley Matthews, March 30, 1877, RBH. 30.