The American Campaign: U.S. Presidential Campaigns and the National Vote

The American Campaign: U.S. Presidential Campaigns and the National Vote
ISBN-10
1585446440
ISBN-13
9781585446445
Category
Election forecasting
Pages
312
Language
English
Published
2008-01
Publisher
Texas A & M University Press
Author
James E. Campbell

Description

Reporting data and predicting trends through the 2008 campaign, this classroom-tested volume offers again James E. Campbell’s “theory of the predictable campaign,” incorporating the fundamental conditions that systematically affect the presidential vote: political competition, presidential incumbency, and election-year economic conditions. Campbell’s cogent thinking and clear style present students with a readable survey of presidential elections and political scientists’ ways of studying them. The American Campaign also shows how and why journalists have mistakenly assigned a pattern of unpredictability and critical significance to the vagaries of individual campaigns. This excellent election-year text provides: a summary and assessment of each of the serious predictive models of presidential election outcomes; a historical summary of many of America’s important presidential elections; a significant new contribution to the understanding of presidential campaigns and how they matter.

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