Everybody has to make decisions—they are unavoidable. Yet we receive little or no education or training on how to make decisions. Business decisions can be dif_ cult: which people to hire, which product lines or facilities to expand and which to sell or shut down, which bid or proposal to accept, which process to implement, how much R&D to invest in, which environmental projects should receive the highest priority, etc. This book gives you all the tools you need to... • clarify and reach alignment on goals and objectives and understand trade-offs in reaching those goals, • develop and examine alternatives, • systematically analyze the effects of risk and uncertainty, and • maximize the chances of achieving your goals and objectives. Success (getting what you want) depends on luck and good decision making. You can’t control your luck, but you can maximize your odds by making the best possible decisions, and this book gets you there. Broadly speaking, this book organizes and presents otherwise formal decision-making tools in an intuitively understandable fashion. The presentation is informal, but the concepts and tools are research-based and formally accepted.
This edition integrates the latest decision analysis material from a range of disciplines including OR, Statistics and Psychology. The authors make it accessible to its largest group of potential users:...
Figure 14.6(a) shows the management's value function over the range of possible pay awards (it was thought that an award of at least 3% would have to be conceded), together with their estimate of what the union's value function would ...
The first part of the book explains the various analytical tools that simplify and accelerate decision making.
Ideal for researchers, management professionals, students, operations scholars, and academicians, this scholarly work supports and enhances the decision-making process.
A facilitator is a person who helps a group free itself from internal obstacles or difficultiesso thatitmaymore efficientlyand effectively pursue the achievement of desired outcomes —Roger Schwarz (Schwarz, 2002) ...
Jahan, A.; Edwards, K. L.Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis for Supporting the Selection of Engineering Materials in Product Design. Butterworth-Heinemann, 2013. Marquez, F. Binary Decision Diagrams Applied to Fault Tree Analysis [c].
(See O'Hagan et al. 2006 for a comprehensive review of all aspects of the interview process.) In many contexts, forecasts are obtained from diverse experts and sources. Often, there is a combination of hard data and expert opinion.
CD-ROM contains: Crystal Ball -- TreePlan -- AnimaLP -- Queue -- ExcelWorkbooks.
Or is it all a matter of luck? The answer, says J. Frank Yates, is none of the above. The real key, rarely recognized, is how the leaders manage the company's decision processes—the leaders' decision management practices.
This book instructs readers in applying DA to feasibility analysis, project estimation, and project risk management.This is a wholly rewritten and expanded successor to the best-selling first and second editions.The entire investment ...