A HARVARD-TRAINED ECONOMIST'S STARTLING PREDICTIONS REVEAL THE KEY CHALLENGES OF THE DECADES AHEAD - AND HOW BEST TO MEET THEM. As we deal with the aftermath of the financial crisis, many of us are focused on forecasts for the next week, month or quarter. Instead we should be asking what the global economy will look like in years to come: where will the long-term risks and opportunities arise? These are the questions Daniel Altman confronts in this provocative and indispensable book. The fate of the global economy, Altman argues, will be determined by deeper factors than those that move markets from moment to moment. He brings together hidden trends, social pressures and policy endgames to make twelve surprising but logical predictions. His forecasts also raise a pressing question: with so many challenges awaiting us, are our political and economic institutions up to the task? Outrageous Fortunes tells which industries will grow, which economies will crumble, which investments will pay off, and where the next big crisis may occur. This is an essential guide to the road ahead. 'Daniel Altman has something to tell you: the world may not turn out the way Thomas Friedman expects. Outrageous Fortunes is provocative, fast-moving, authoritative and imaginative.' - TIM HARFORN, The Undercover Economist 'His analysis is thoughtful and compelling and should be required reading for those interested in creating a better world for our offspring.' - HAL R. VARIAN, chief economist at Google 'If the past two years have taught us anything, it is the importance of counter-intuitive thinking. Anyone who wants to get smart on globalization's fate must read this book.' - PARAG KHANNA, The Second World and How to Run the World
Except when otherwise stated, illustrations and numerical computations used OxMetrics (see Jurgen A. Doornik, OxMetrics: An Interface to Empirical Modelling, Timberlake Consultants Press, London, 2018) and PcGive (see J.A. Doornik and ...
Medium-Term Review 2008-2015, No. 11
II ) ISSN : 0084_9235 First published in 2003 Praeger Publishers , 88 Post Road West , Westport , CT 06881 An imprint of Greenwood Publishing Group , Inc. www.praeger.com Printed in the United States of America The paper used in this ...
The Harris government cut personal income tax rates in Ontario by 30 percent since 1995. Many thought this would drive revenues down and keep the budget deficit close to $ 10 billion ; but look what happened instead .
LR; sequential test (each at 5% level), FPE: final prediction error, AIC: Akaike information criterion, SC: Schwarz, HQ: Hannan-Quinn Table 6.10.1: Choice of the appropriate lag length p through information criteria Let us start by ...
Oracle I: The Insurance Industry in the Next Ten Years (1981-1990)
Economic Forecasting and Policy--the International Dimension
投資大師伯恩斯坦金融3部曲
本书首先在序章中点出日本现在所面临的本质上的问题, 然后汇总了中低层社会会思考的各种观点;第一章俯瞰日本的结构变化;第二章以后, 依照企业, 个人, 政府的顺序, ...
本书分为五个部分:经济福利的根源;长期困扰美国的两大问题:贸易逆差与通货膨胀;政策问题;金融问题;美国的前景。