人口老龄化对经济增长的影响——理论与实证分析

ISBN-10: 7520311325
ISBN-13: 9787520311328
Category: Business & Economics / Development / Economic Development
Pages: 224
Language: Chinese
Published: 2017-10-01
Publisher: BEIJING BOOK CO. INC.
Authors: 李军, 刘生龙著

Description

本书深入研究了人口老龄化影响经济增长的基本机制、主要途径、预期结果以及应对措施等问题。基于有关数理经济模型和有关国际与中国省际面板数据进行的理论与实证分析结果表明人口老龄化对劳动力供给、资本积累、国民储蓄，从而对经济增长潜力有着不可避免的深刻系统性影响。将人口老龄化因素纳入经济的供给与需求分析的框架，是本书在研究方法上的一个重要特色。现行主流经济增长理论是在20世纪人口激增的背景下发展形成的，通常以人口增长既定、劳动力无限供给及忽略人口结构变动（人口老龄化）为条件假设。这样的条件假设已经与21世纪人口老龄化的现实背景相去甚远，从而导致现行主流经济增长理论的局限性凸显。因此，本书基于人口老龄化背景下对经济增长理论的有关研究，是对现行经济增长理论的进一步发展，具有重要的经济学价值和现实意义。总体看，人口老龄化是重大的经济问题，而非单纯的社会问题，更不是单一的养老问题，应对人口老龄化需要在经济领域全面展开。

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