中美爭霸：兩強相遇東南亞

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世界正在進入新冷戰時代嗎？

中國美國，誰會輸誰會贏？

欲知分曉，請隨作者一同深入兩強競逐實況的縮影之地：東南亞。

國際關係錯綜複雜，但若問今日最大看點為何，答案應會眾口一致，咸認莫過於美中兩大強權之間的競爭。其白熱化程度，廣泛引起新冷戰時代是否已經到來的討論。

新冷戰真的到來了嗎？這場大國交鋒誰會占得上風？中國崛起美國衰弱乃大勢所趨抑或暫時表象？針對上述很多讀者關心的問題，本書作者沈大偉（David Shambaugh）以美中在東南亞的競逐為觀察對象，結合實地訪查、文獻研究和客觀數據，寓精闢見解於扎實剖析之中。

沈大偉認為，美中兩強爭奪支配力和影響力的煙硝，遍及全世界，而以東南亞為重地。美中在此地區的對抗，可說是兩強在全世界對抗的縮影。因此，掌握美中在東南亞的博弈情況，等於掌握了這場賽局的全貌。

沈大偉是美國著名中國與亞洲事務學者及政府智囊。在書中，他以簡潔平易的文字，描繪出一幅細節豐富、跨越時空的全景卷軸，展開後，美、中、東南亞三方行動者的歷史接觸、當前關係與未來走向，盡收眼底。

作者首先綜論美中在東南亞競爭的概況，針對美國單憑軍事硬實力、中國專憑經濟軟實力在東南亞行走的二分刻板框架，提出挑戰。由於美中和東南亞現在關係，深受過去關係影響，於是接著帶領讀者回溯美中分別在東南亞種下的前因，及其各自結成的後果。後半從東南亞視角出發，逐一檢視東協十國如何出招周旋於兩強之間。最後預測美中與東南亞合演的地緣政治權謀戲，有哪些可能劇情發展。

東南亞是臺灣的鄰居，與我們有密切的經貿往來和頻繁的人口互動，政府近年來更大力推動「新南向政策」，希望加深彼此連結。東南亞是中美兩強競逐的必爭之地，臺灣同樣身處美中角力的戰場前線。因此，《中美爭霸：兩強相遇東南亞》對於東協十國歷史與現狀的扼要介紹，對於美中與東南亞地緣政治局勢的銳利洞見，很值得我們汲取細讀，作為借鑑參考。

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