《中國下一場政變》

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 一個當權者不會政治改革、人民不能革命起義的國家，政變是政治唯一的出氣口。所謂中華人民共和國史，就是一部不斷政變的歷史。當然，毫無疑問，最後也會是政變來結束這段歷史。

從毛澤東、鄧小平時代的路線鬥爭，到江澤民、胡錦濤時代的反腐肅貪，本質上無一不是政變，無一不是用非程序的方式將政敵趕下台，這是一長串名單，毛鄧時期，政變中最重要的失敗者至少包括高崗、彭德懷、劉少奇、林彪、“四人幫”、華國鋒、胡耀邦、趙紫陽等等，而江胡時代，二十年便在四個直轄巿中收拾了三個巿委書記，他們是陳希同、陳良宇、薄熙來，江澤民更借鄧小平之手，在軍中成功進行了“和平”兵變，清洗了楊尚昆、楊白冰兄弟及其派系。

這是連續劇。那些被這場政變趕下台的人，往往是上一場政變的參與者或得益者，劉少奇、鄧小平、林彪、“四人幫”、薄一波、楊氏兄弟、陳希同等等，不都身兼害人者和受害者兩個角色麼？

這又是一套重復上演的老把戲。陰謀政變一旦成功，伴隨的是無恥的慶功和效忠，若干年後，又往往是充滿正義感的平反、翻案，而活著的復出者，過幾年又充滿激情地用政變的手段將別人整掉。

不經過公民選舉、不接受公開監督的政權，不管他管治國家多長時間，本質上他還是革命黨而非執政黨，這種秘密式、黑幫式的一黨體制決定了，只有靠陰謀才能生存，只有靠陰謀才能爬升，只有不斷整掉對手，才能讓自己權傾一時。

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