The Signal and the Noise
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--but Some Don't
By Nate Silverand HOW He Beat the Odds I met Bill James for the first time on a panel at the New Yorker Festival in October 2009. There was a fancy party afterward and he looked out of place among the fashionistas, wearing an exceedingly colorful ...
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The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction
By Nate SilverSilver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger.
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
By Nate SilverThis is the “prediction paradox”: The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future.
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The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction
By Nate Silver' The New York Times Book Review 'In this important book, Nate Silver explains why the performance of experts varies from prescient to useless and why we must plan for the unexpected.
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - But Some Dont't
By Nate SilverThe Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - But Some Dont't